Kassioun Research Unit

Kassioun Research Unit

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“Early Recovery”: A Sanctions’ Dangled Carrot… More Importantly: One of the “Step for Step” Tools!

Day after day, the different elements of the “step for step” puzzle are becoming clearer. This puzzle includes many integrated elements, including, among other things: “changing the regime’s behavior”, “sanctions”, “early recovery”, “decentralization and autonomous governance”, “administrative reforms”, “safe and neutral environment”.

Waiting for International Consensus… and Let the Country and its People Go to Hell! stars

“The Syrian crisis will not be resolved until there is international consensus on the solution, and specifically American-Russian consensus”.

This saying has been spreading widely within Syrian politicians on both sides of the fence, and to some extent among the general public.

Perhaps the most dangerous thing in the matter is that this “saying” is being presented as an axiom, and as an absolute, simple, and inevitable truth, and there is no need to discuss its validity at all.

Why South Africa? What is the Legal Path of the Case? Why Did “Israel” Comply and Appear in Court?

Last Thursday, January 11, the International Court of Justice (ICJ) began looking into the case filed by South Africa on December 29, 2023, in which it accused “Israel” of committing the crime of “genocide” against Palestinians in the Gaza Strip, on the basis of “Israel’s” violation of its obligations under the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide (the Genocide Convention), based on both parties being signatories to the Genocide Convention. This is the first time that a case has been filed against the Zionist entity in the ICJ. However, in 2004 the ICJ considered a request for an advisory opinion related to the Zionist entity, specifically regarding the separation wall that it built in the occupied West Bank, which the ICJ concluded was illegal. There is also before the ICJ a request for another advisory opinion – on which a decision has not yet been issued –referred by the UN General Assembly at the end of 2022 on the legal consequences of “the Israeli occupation, settlement, and annexation”.

Many media, political, and human rights organizations covered the sessions in which the two parties presented their case. A lot of general information was circulated about the ICJ, the Genocide Convention, and what has been happening in Gaza since last October 7. We will not cover this type of information here, but we will try to answer some basic questions briefly, each of which can be expanded upon in later articles.

The Occupying State, “Self-Defense”, and International Law

The Russian representative to the UN said in one of the many sessions held by the Security Council during the last few weeks to discuss the “Israeli” aggression against Gaza, and in response to the repeated Western argument for its unconditional support for the brutality of the Zionist entity based on “Israel’s” right of self-defense, the Russian UN representative said: “Israel has no right to defend itself because it is an occupying state.”

End of the Grain Deal and “New Israel”

The grain agreement signed between Russia and Ukraine, with Turkish mediation, ended on July 22. The agreement stipulated allowing transport of Ukrainian grain across the Black Sea, provided that the shipments be inspected in the Turkish Bosphorus Strait, under supervision of Turkey and the UN, so that they would not be used to transport weapons.

What Lies Behind Jordan’s Threats of a “Military Action” in Syria?

These days, the prevailing trend regarding the Syrian crisis, at least in appearance, is one towards reconciliation, settlements, and calming at the level of relations with the Arab countries and Turkey. That is despite what the extremists seek to promote against the settlement, particularly with Turkey.

Dreams of a Comeback of the “Small Group–Astana” Duality

Anyone following the Jordanian activity related to the Syrian crisis will notice that Jordanian officials are always keen to point out that their activity is carried out in coordination with the West, primarily with Washington and London.

Has the Magnitude of Astana’s Insistence on the Syrian-Turkish Settlement Been Measured?

The intense work carried out by the Astana tripartite to reach a Syrian-Turkish settlement has entered the phase of high activity since the end of last year. As is known and stated, many security meetings took place between Syria and Turkey in Moscow over the past year, and even before that. However, the first meeting with a clear political dimension was that of the defense ministers of Syria, Turkey, and Russia in Moscow, on Wednesday, December 28, 2022.

For the First Time, a Zionized Billionaire Discloses the UAE's Goals in Syria

On April 6, “Annahar Alarabi” newspaper published an article entitled: “The UAE and Syria... a relationship that may redraw the future of the region”, written by Hasan Ismaik, who, based on a search, is not a journalist but a Jordanian billionaire residing in the UAE. Ismaik began writing (or signing articles with his name) only after the “Abraham Accords”. While he had previously worked in secret, all the articles on which he put his name were on the same topic, which is shamelessly promoting and defending normalization with the Zionist entity.