Kassioun Editorial 1200: Will US Policy Change?

While it is necessary to reiterate what Kassioun’s last editorial said about the “Two Shoes Worn by the Same Person”, it is necessary to add the following ideas:

First: What is certain and confirmed is that the US system as a whole is experiencing a stifling structural crisis at various levels, including at the internal US level, with the frequent rise in the possibility of a wide-ranging explosion under the pressure of a number of factors. Most notable of these factors is the decline in global hegemony and the decline in the profit/plunder it produced, which played a fundamental role in numbing and neutralizing Americans from any direct interfering in politics.

Second: If the traditional formula for capitalism to get out of its crises is war, then closing the door to direct war due to the presence of nuclear weapons has pushed towards the use of point wars distributed across many arenas in the world, which are supposed to have the desired effect of a major, comprehensive war. This is what American elites have been working on over the past two decades, and more clearly in recent years, whether in Ukraine, Palestine, Lebanon, Sudan, Libya, and other arenas. Nevertheless, these point wars, as a whole, have not been able to achieve the desired effect. They have neither stopped the rise of the rising powers nor delayed or stopped the decline of the declining ones. Therefore, it became necessary to search for a rapid change in tactics within the same comprehensive strategy.

Third: This change is represented in shifting the center of gravity of the work from point wars to comprehensive hybrid chaos, and implicitly from military action to complex, multi-faceted actions, including security, economic, cultural, etc. This is especially so with the tremendous technological development that allows us to see what happened in Lebanon (and even in the recent Ankara attack) as one of the models of this type of comprehensive hybrid chaos, which relies primarily on activating internal divisions among countries “hostile” to the US. This list includes practically most countries in the world, especially BRICS and its allies. The comprehensive hybrid chaos also relies on activating internal divisions within each country individually, especially national, religious, and sectarian divisions.

Fourth: It should also be noted that the tactical “turn” in Trump’s rise includes an attempt to circumvent the clear loss suffered by the attempt to impose neoliberalism and its “values” on the global level and on the American domestic level alike.

Fifth: We should not fall into the illusion that Trump is coming with a “peace” plan, neither for our region nor for the entire world. The same strategy will continue, what will differ are the tools, as mentioned above, and the main center of gravity will be the comprehensive hybrid chaos.

Sixth: It should be acknowledged to the American elites that – despite their internal division over the ways out of their crisis – they have shown great flexibility in modifying the strategy, by pushing Trump through to the presidency, in a way that guarantees postponing the possibilities of internal explosion in the US, albeit for a while, in a way that also guarantees pushing through the process of modifying the strategy as smoothly as possible, under the cover of “Trumpian madness”.

Finally: In our region, there will be clear and persistent work to use the Kurdish issue to blow up the region as a whole again. Washington, its allies, and followers will be keen to do everything at their disposal to prevent two very important settlements in our region: the settlement between the Turkish authorities and the Kurds in Turkey represented by Abdullah Ocalan, and the settlement between Syria and Turkey under the auspices of Astana in a way that prevents the northwest from being blown up by the US, and in a way that paves the way in parallel towards a comprehensive political solution in Syria based on UNSC Resolution 2254.

What is certain in the whole matter is that the Americans and the Zionists will make some partial changes here and there in their work plans. What is also certain is that the strikes directed by the resistance will increase in force and importance, and that the process of the birth of the new world will enter a more accelerated phase. What is also certain is that we are witnessing, from now, a unique historical process during which the shortest-lived empire in history, the American Empire, is collapsing at an age that have not yet reached even 35 years.

(النسخة العربية)