Saad Saeb
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What’s the Real Objective from the Zionist Assaults, and What’s their Deep Meaning?
There is a noteworthy consensus in assessing the objectives of the repeated “Israeli” military assaults in Syria. As we hear from analysts from various sides a unified assessment, the summary of which is that the attacks target Iranian and Hezbollah sites, forces, weapons, or leaders operating on Syrian soil, and that their objective is to undermine the possibilities of transferring weapons to Hezbollah, as well as undermining “Iranian influence”.
Although the previous readout cannot be considered entirely wrong, it is certainly a partial one that reflects only part of the truth, especially since the existence of an actual effect – in the military sense – of these raids is doubtful to begin with.
To put matters in context, first we should point out that the raids themselves, and their frequency, have dramatically increased during the second half of the duration of the Syrian crisis, especially over the last three years. Interpreting this would permit getting closer to understanding the truth of the matter.
We believe that any overt “Israeli” intervention in the early years would have placed the repugnance at the Zionists above any other for all Syrians – whose mutual wounds had not yet deepened, and in particular above the made-up sectarian and national dichotomies. These particular dichotomies, especially the sectarian, were desperately needed in the early years in order to accomplish (supported by security repression and foreign interference) the process of diverting the popular movement from its peacefulness, and even pushing matters in the country towards something resembling internal fighting. It is no secret that the Zionists have a great interest in this.
If this was the case until the end of 2015, things began to change with the direct Russian military involvement. On the one hand, the real war against ISIS began with the consequent reduction of the playing field for the sectarian issue. Then, this space was narrowed to a minimum with the 2017 launch of the Astana track, and its gradual squeezing of battlefields and violence.
In other words, the fate of the country with the retreat of ISIS and the likes thereof, and with the decline in the intensity of internal fighting, had opened again favorable possibilities, including Syria’s exit from its crisis, unified and with a new system that belongs to the new international balance, with all the actual dangers that this imposes on the Zionist entity.
A Wider Angle
Notwithstanding how catastrophic the Syrian situation, and the blatant violation that we live as Syrians on a daily basis of our sovereignty as a state and as a people, the violation by outside enemies and by the internal enemies represented by the plundering and oppressive liberal system, and despite the many normalization deals and the accompanying cheering, none of this should make us blind to the true status of the Zionist entity.
The key word in reading the Zionist entity’s situation is the economic, political and military situation of the West in general, and in particular the US and the UK. The Zionist entity was and still is an extension of the Western scheme within our region, and the crises it is experiencing at different levels are an expression of the crises of the Western center itself. Among the expressions of the Zionist entity’s crisis is the instability of any government over the past two years, despite the normalization “achievements”, which the “Israelis” themselves seem to be the ones who best know its insignificance and the extent of hollowness of its display.
Two decades ago, we were talking about the forthcoming American crisis, that it would be bigger and deeper than the 1929 crisis, and that it could threaten the very political existence of the US as one country. Today, even Americans themselves no longer deny this matter. Of course, meanwhile, there are the “liberals of our region” and its oil barrels who still cajole the West and admire its progressivism.
In the same context, the general trend of the Zionist entity’s situation is movement towards retreat, and therefore one of the existential necessities for it is the continuation of the Syrian crisis and destruction of Syria. If a solution is inevitable, then it should be designed so as not to pose a threat to the Zionist entity.
From 242 to 2254
To clarify the extent of the impact of the Syrian crisis solution on the Zionist entity, we can say the following: the degree of depth, complexity and intertwining of the Syrian crisis is a reflection of the depth of the ongoing intense international conflict. Therefore, the way in which the Syrian crisis will be resolved will be one of the first clear political expressions of the new international balance, within which the West retreats and the East advances, and within which the US, UK, and France retreat, and Russia and China advance.
Since the US knows this perfectly well, it has been expressing for years that its best plan in Syria is not to reach a solution, because reaching a solution means a loss for the US. This was expressed by James Jeffrey quite clearly and repeatedly, whether by saying that his job is to turn Syria into a quagmire for the Russians and later by saying that stalemate is the stability required in Syria from the American point of view.
Moreover, the solution to the Syrian crisis, that is, the implementation of UNSC Resolution 2254, means that international resolutions, within the new international balance, are not only ink on paper, but rather resolutions that get implemented. This also means that Resolutions 242, 338, and others will be in place for implementation.
Public and Confidential
It is no secret that the Zionist roles are major roles within the Syrian crisis, even before 2011, despite the fact that seizing the “forensic” evidence for this is a very difficult matter.
Nevertheless, “Israel” is not present in any official framework related to resolving the Syrian crisis. It is neither represented in the Western small group, nor in Astana, nor in the International Support Group (Vienna), nor in the so-called now-extinct “Friends of Syria” group. This is very normal, as the Zionist entity is a clear enemy of the Syrian people and Syria, and no one in general dares to include him in any official matter relating to Syria, except perhaps for some of the few nobodies who have surfaced during the last few years.
In this sense, the way “Israel” is present in the Syrian negotiations, and from its point of view, is through a clear method, which is the repeated raids, regardless of whether or not they achieve military objectives. To clarify what we mean when we say that those raids achieve their declared goal, in addition to the facts that indicate these raids did not constitute any serious hindrance to the supply, armament and other operations, we can draw the reader’s attention to the example of the Gaza Strip, which exposes that cutting off supplies is a very difficult process even in circumstances such as those of the Gaza Strip, so one can imagine how difficult it would be in an area very wide and spanning several countries.
In other words, the repeated Zionist assaults on Syria, in our opinion, hardly have any serious military objectives. On the other hand, their primary goal is a political goal whose essence is to say: We are here, and we want our opinion to be present.
In essence, this means that there is a serious possibility that the “Israelis” fear and that is they will not be present, and that Syria will proceed towards a solution against “Israel’s” will and opinion. This is implementable and, from a patriotic Syrian point of view, it must be implemented.
