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Kassioun Editorial 1223: Syria and the Global Development Trends
The trend of decline and retreat among Western powers in general, and the US in particular, is rapidly growing at all levels: economic, political, military, and cultural. This is something that Kassioun has repeatedly emphasized, proactively, over the past 25 years. It has now become a tangible reality, the effects of which are constantly being revealed. Its major impacts, in the historical sense, are still only a few steps away, and have significantly affected and will continue to affect our Syrian situation.
Among the most important indicators of Western/American decline are the following:
First: Trump’s tariffs, and the fumbling between lifting, withdrawing, and temporarily suspending them, have revealed, on the one hand, the reality of the actual economic weights in our world today, in which the actual center of production, including technology, has become far from the West. On the other hand, they have revealed that neoliberal globalization has reached its historical end, paving the way for a comprehensive restructuring of the international financial, economic, and political system.
Second: The Ukrainian war and the negotiations surrounding it are moving in one fixed direction, which is to confirm a decisive defeat for NATO, halt its expansion, and push it toward retreat.
Third: The resumption of negotiations on the Iranian nuclear issue, the decline in the possibility of direct war, and the restraint of the extremist Zionists, including Netanyahu, signify the reality of a shift in the regional order in our region in line with the new international balance of power. This includes deepening Saudi-Iranian understandings, under Chinese-Russian auspices, and increasing the level of cooperation among Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Iran regarding their positions on the international conflict.
In addition to these indicators, a myriad of other indicators can be observed at various levels around the world, from Africa to East Asia and the unprecedented Chinese, Japanese, and South Korean cooperation regarding Trump’s tariffs, to Latin America and its political developments.
All of this will have direct and indirect repercussions on our situation in Syria. It should be used as a basis for formulating policies, at the core of which are:
First: The IMF and World Bank games run against historical developments. Relying on them and on lifting of sanctions places the country and its people in a historically wrong category, increases the risk of internal explosion, and reduces the chances of reunifying the Syrian market and reviving the economy.
Second: The international and regional circumstances are ripe for the Zionist to take its hand off Syria, by: relying primarily on the Syrian interior, drawing strength from the Syrian people – the Syrian people as a whole, not from one part against another – and relying on the new international balances.
Third: How can the internal factor be matured towards unifying the country and preserving its civil peace? The only way was and still is through the General National Conference, which provides a platform for a real dialogue among Syrians, through which they decide their own fate, and which produces a comprehensive, balanced, and broadly representative national unity government that leads the country during the transitional phase towards safety, far from monopolization and the logic of dominance, which achieves only one thing: opening the door to adverse foreign interventions that seek to push the country towards a new massacre and towards permanent partition and fragmentation.