Kassioun Editorial 1087: The Conditions for the Solution are Ripening
Although the Syrian political scene seems stagnant, and the apparent complete inability to move towards a political solution and the implementation of UNSC Resolution 2254, the reality of things is in a different place, and perhaps even opposite to what things might look like on their face.
Starting from the international and regional situation, the overall indicators point to the growing decline in the West’s ability to influence the Syrian equation. In parallel, there is the steady increase in the weight of the Astana track. In a broader context, the ability of the US and its allies in Europe to control matters in our region has entered a stage of sharp decline, something that is no longer a secret to anyone. Perhaps the failure of Biden’s visit to Jeddah, and what followed in the Tehran and Sochi summits, as well as the increasing signals of Saudi-Iranian rapprochement, all this represents clear indications of the general direction of things to come.
Internally, some consider the two matters of the suspension of the work of the Constitutional Committee (which was not working anyway) and the nearly 3-year long paralysis of the “Syrian Negotiation Commission” (which has become a unilateral representation of one side of the opposition, a side that is internally severely divided between those who insist on following the path of the Americans and the small group and those who see that this is not possible and futile), and other similar matters, as evidence of the end of the horizon of the political process. They also consider these matters as the door closing to UNSC Resolution 2254. In reality, these are indicators that carry the exact opposite connotation.
As for the Constitutional Committee, it has performed its function over two years by preventing the death of the political process. It was not possible to rely on it to achieve more than that, in light of the control of extremists who reject the solution and who are ultimately linked in their interests to the West. For those, the Committee was nothing but an arena for futile political jousting and wasting time in the hope of going back to the slogans of “military decisiveness” and “toppling”.
As for the Negotiation Commission, it also has been disabled since it was formed, due to the fact that Western subversive weight has pushed forward and strengthened the positions of the extremists. Although those same ones have always frankly rejected the political solution, and they are now doing the same, while occupying positions that are supposed to be dedicated to launching real negotiations towards a solution.
The suspension of the Committee’s work, as well as the paralysis of the Negotiation Commission, are both indicators that the time-wasting tools have expired, and the path is now open to move on to the solution’s real tools, and through those who really want a solution.
Accordingly, and within the conditions that are rapidly moving at the various levels – international, regional, and domestic – rearranging the ranks of the patriotic democratic opposition practically and on patriotic basis, in preparation for direct negotiations in Damascus and on the basis of 2254 exclusively, has become the task of the hour, and moving towards which has become an absolute necessity.