Kassioun Editorial 1075: Big Risks and Time is the Biggest One!
For over a month, there have been Turkish statements about the possibility of a new aggression on northern Syria, under the name of a “military operation”. Although a number of new arrangements and the recent Astana meeting have significantly reduced this possibility, it still exists.
Completely eliminating this possibility cannot be done without ending the objective basis for it and for other possibilities of reigniting any part of Syria; that is, ending the crisis at its roots through a comprehensive political solution.
However, until then, it is imperative, in addition to working towards a comprehensive solution, to intensify the rapprochement among patriotic Syrian forces towards a solution and towards grounding the possibilities of escalation alike. It is also imperative to benefit from the Astana track, which despite the contradictions among its poles, has proven through experience its ability to isolate its differences, no matter how large, and reach consensus, precisely because it is a track that expresses a configuration of the new world order that is under formation.
If the noticeable decline in the possibilities of aggression after the last Astana meeting left somewhat of an understandable relief, it should not turn into being numbed towards the continuing and growing risks, not only at the military level, but at various levels. “The de facto ruppture” is not the only existing risk, but rather there are a number of risks that lead to the same rupturing and fragmentation, albeit by different means. Starting with the continuous bulldozing of the Syrian people from their land, including that of young people and competencies, as well as the continuous deterioration of socioeconomic conditions, which have reached a catastrophic level, the complete blackout of the electricity that took place a few days ago is only one of its indicators.
In parallel, socioeconomic policies that are biased not only to the merchants, but also to certain classes thereof, persist. That is, to the crisis and war lords with their various black-market activities, which do not hesitate to invest in the existing global crises to maximize their profits, literally at the expense of the flesh and bones of the Syrian people.
These policies, which some may explain as greed, corruption, and so on, cannot in fact be explained by these aspects alone. In terms of the result, they lead to the process of rupturing the country apart by turning it into small islands that are almost isolated from each other in the economic sense. The outrageous high prices of transportation and electricity are enough to raise the costs of the entire economic process from production to consumption, which means significantly narrowing its circle, so that the country turns into a group of small, contiguous regions, each of which has a semi-separate life from the other regions, similar to the situation during Feudal days.
If the image of the internal Syrian scene is completely bleak, then the basic trends of the international situation are the complete opposite, and are moving towards the disintegration of the old global system with its western head, with the regimes of our regimes being a mere extension thereof.
Between the current bleak internal image, and the promising and ambitious global future, the time factor is the most influential factor. Time does not play in the interest of Syria and Syrians. Every additional delay in moving towards a solution means getting closer to the point of no return in the processes of fragmentation and rupturing.
Therefore, pushing for a solution through the full implementation of UNSC Resolution 2254 – with benefiting from Astana as well as joint work by patriotic Syrians – in addition to being a realistic possibility, is a patriotic and existential necessity for Syria... the land and the people.