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Signs of US Fluctuation and its Fates
James Jeffrey was reemerged from his almost three-month lull: since Trump announced the withdrawal of his forces from Syria until the beginning of the last week. He reappeared repeating his same «goals» that he had put forward since his appointment, but after he had made rewarding discounts and forced changes on them, imposed by the recession of the US commodity in general, and his own commodity in particular.
We attribute the goals to him, not to Washington, because it became a kind of divination to say that Washington has a definite united position, whatsoever, of this or that of its officials, not only in relation to the Syrian crisis, but also to any other issue whether international of internal one.
There is no doubt that the absence of a united position is one of the most extreme signs in the Syrian question, especially because of its key role in the overall international conflict. Whether to stay or withdraw; to withdraw quickly and completely or partially and in an organized way; to leave 200 or 400; to keep an unshakable alliance with a section of the Syrian Kurds or turning the back to them, and trying to fix what is not fixable in the relation with turkey; and shifting from the saying that Astana's role is over, to succumbing to the reality of its continuation and success through silence about it coupled with continuing attempts to throw discord between its trio.
It is a divination to look for a unified position of Washington, that is precisely because such a position does not exist. On the contrary: Washington suffers from a division that clearly expresses, in its depth and breadth, the magnitude of the overall crisis in the United States, not only as a state and as an institution, but also as a center and a locomotive to a whole international system based on unipolarity, which is based in its turn on the dominance of the dollar and the unequal exchange.
Among the signs of US foundering in Syria, there are three prominent ones:
First, this confusion is an expression of a split over the question of the existence and future of the United States and the unipolar international order, between those who insist on risking the burning of all ships, perhaps the stubborn facts may be amenable, and a trend that seeks a systematic retreat that will reduce losses and adapt to the new international balance.
The second is that the American, whether fascist or "realistic", no longer has a word in drawing future plans and conceptions in Syria, and his role became limited to trying to block the path of Astana and the path of UNSCR 2254 with its various coordinates, and such a US role is being played through a stream of plans, statements and policies. And maybe the most exotic and farthest from reality are those concerning north-east of Syria.
Thirdly, the US confusion which has become strikingly exposed in foreign policy and the division around it, has soon moved into a conflict over internal politics as well, leading to the declaration of a state of emergency against "migrants through Mexico", and in which it was told about the "dangers of socialism" many times more than what was told about the risk of emigrants.
The fate of the US fluctuation will only be more and more decline, and with the aging process of the shortest-lived empire in history and its lack of flexibility, the fluctuation which was once a division of roles will today, with the slightest fall down, pose risks and irremediable fractures.
Kassioun Editorial, Issue No. 904, March 11, 2019